Let’s look at an example:

For the sake of calculation let’s use a note rate of 5.000%. Now, consider you may be paying interest on that financed UFMIP. Instead of $1,262.00 in additional costs for financing you will be paying an additional $358.80 over the next 7 years. So, the total cost of finding a home and putting it under contract on April 6th vs April 5th in this example would be roughly $1,620.80.

This is surely not enough to warrant putting a contract on a home that you will be unhappy with over time. It is, however, a pretty good reason to act swiftly when you do find a home you like. It is also a good reason to get out now and look before the change occurs.

You can see that the number of homes sold in most areas have risen. Despite that fact, the average sales price has steadily declined in all areas.

Keep in mind, these are statistics. There are a lot of things at play here and one of them is the fact that homes in the upper price ranges; above 500,000.00 have not been participating much at all. That alone has a tendency to skew the average sold price to the low end. That being said, it is pretty typical for home values to have gone down in most of Denver’s neighborhoods. Take a look at the graphical representation of our market over the last four years. It makes a pretty good argument for a bottoming process taking place in the last two quarters of 2009. That should hold true assuming we don’t have any more bad news on the economic horizon.

How’s that for sticking my neck out

What’s an information broker? You probably have one of the many “preferred customer cards” that a lot of the drug stores and grocery stores have? Well an interesting thing happens with those. The information as to your purchases is collected. Information likke what foods you bought, what alcohol you bought, what tobacco products you bought, did you buy potato chips or other junk food, what medication you bought. The information is collected via bar code on each product and linked to you and your customer rewards card. Then the information is sold (you didn’t actually think the grocery store was doing all that discounting out of the goodness of their hearts did you?).
Guess who is able to buy this information about you? Anybody… that’s right anybody. For instance, marketing people and …… insurance companies, I think you get the picture.
And remember, when you filled out your preferred customer card, you gave your name, address, and phone number. Do you really want your insurance company and who knows who else to have information regarding what products you bought last week or all of last year, or what medications you bought?
I sure don’t. So next time I am asked if I want a customer loyalty card, I will only do it if it doesn’t require my correct name and info. I’m not a conspiracy theorist kind of person, but when I got this insider info, it really made me think.
Speaking of thinking, would you please do me a favor? Don’t keep me a secret. If you can think of anybody that is buying a new home, or refinancing their current home, would you call me so you and I can discuss the best way for me to get in touch with them so that they can get the help they need right away?
Thanks for letting me help. As always, I am happy to help you and your friends or family with no hidden agenda like the issuers of those Preferred Customer Cards. Thanks for joining me today and I’ll see you next week right here on your weekly Tip.

The bill still needs to pass the Senate, be reconciled, then signed by the President before it is law. Given the circumstances this seems highly likely.
As for plans to extend the existing tax credit for all non military persons, there are several proposals floating around on capitol hill. These range from extending the current law for another six months to increasing the credit to $15,000.00, extending the credit to all homebuyers, and even extending a $3,000.00 credit to those refinancing in 2010.

You may remember that before the current law was passed there were several options that were far more grandiose. It is likely the current law will be extended in its current form with little change for a period of 6 to 12 months. That being said, it is unlikely we will have certainty on this issue until November 30th. I would not advise complacency now. If you are in the market to buy a home now and you are a first time home buyer… get cracking. You are running out of time. Too, if you are waiting in hopes for a better deal to come out of Washington next year, don’t hold your breath. It is unlikely.

If you have not started the process due to poor credit, now is the time to start. Put together a plan that will have you ready to purchase before this possible second opportunity passes you by.

Thankfully our clients will have limited impact from this event as we do not broker to TBW. However, occasionally loans that have closed in the past will be sold to other servicers and you may know a friend or family member that has been impacted. This information has been provided in an effort to help the people you care about.

While it is bad enough that more than 1000 employees will be out of work as a result of this closure, it will impact tens of thousands more who either were waiting to close a transaction with TBW or who’s loan was currently being serviced by TBW.

So here’s what you need to know:

If you were waiting to fund a loan with TBW either for a purchase or a refinance you will likely have your loan resubmitted to a new lender by your broker. If you were not working with a broker, but you were working with the Taylor Bean & Whitaker retail branch you will need to find a new lender or broker. You will need to relock your loan at current interest rates and will likely have a delay in your expected closing date of one to three weeks.

If you are currently being serviced by TBW and you have a monthly payment due I would encourage you to visit the link provided to Ginnie Mae’s help sheet on this matter. They will confirm that your payments will now need to be sent to Bank of America who will be taking over serviceing of the TBW loan portfolio. The address is below.

BAC Home Loans Servicing LP

Payment Processing

P.O. Box 10334

Van Nuys, CA 91410-0334

1-800-669-6607

Payments will need to be sent on their normally scheduled time frame to avoid any late fees or credit report derrogotories. It has been my experience that while things may have made more difficult for the consumer due to an event that was out of their control there are rarely any considerations given when it comes to making your payment on time.

ppdeagle

I am glad you contacted me. It is obvious by your shameless plugs that you are selling a product. In other words, if you fail to sell this product you will fail to create income. My guess is you would sell this system to anyone with a mortgage and enough money or credit to purchase it. Your product is just the thing I am warning the public about on this blog. It is this mentality that has led to the housing disaster we now have. I personally have met with representatives or “agents” from United First Financial™ (the company that created The Money Merge Account™. The math, the product, the sales pitch is all designed to confuse the public with a bunch of hocus pocus numbers and techniques. The reality of your product is that it is a glorified (and very expensive) budget tool combined with the sale of a HELOC which your organization calls an ALOC – more hocus pocus. Anyone with a mortgage and extra cash-flow can accomplish the same thing (actually better) by themselves. All they need is discipline. Now, you may be a great person who thinks by putting people into this product you are actually doing them a favor. Maybe you listened to the sales pitch and bought all the hocus pocus. I have to admit, the presentation is well put together and very convincing. You need to do your homework though. Put the numbers down on paper and work them out on a calculator; you know, the old fashioned way. I mean really, Do you actually think that by using an adjustable rate mortgage with a higher interest rate than your existing fixed rate you can speed up the payoff? I have done the numbers. After figuring the cost of your product into the mix, my clients, with their boring 30 year fixed mortgage and a little discipline with their budget will have better results with no out of pocket expense for a fancy piece of software and no additional cost, time, or inconvenience for an “ALOC.” Hey, here’s a thought, they might actually get reacquainted with their money and how it should be used in the process.

Look, if you want to sell your product as an effective way to keep the American homeowner on a budget designed to get them out of debt faster – kudos to you. I would support your product for that, even if it is a little lot expensive. Leave the hocus pocus out of the sales pitch. If your product is good for people you shouldn’t have to use all of the smoke and mirrors currently in your sales pitch. If you disagree with me I challenge you to send me proof that the same results you proclaim your product to achieve cannot be achieved without the software and without the ALOC and without the smoke and mirrors. If you can prove it I will gladly post it.

Your comment about a home being an asset only once it is paid off is just plain crazy. How can you begin to tell the millions of Americans that have more value in their home than debt that they don’t actually have a positive net worth (assuming the home is the only asset and the mortgage the only liability) unless the mortgage is completely paid off. Mathematically your statement has no foundation. Sure, if a homeowner has a home that is worth less than the combined mortgage and expenses associated with the sale of that home your point is valid, but only in that case. Oh, I guess you could attempt to make the argument that the borrower will pay hundreds of thousands of dollars more than the balance of their mortgage in interest over the life of their loan. You are assuming then that home appreciation never occurs, that everyone can be a cash buyer, and that the homeowner doesn’t have a better place for their money. It’s an opportunity cost thing; economics 101.

The statement you made about the “mortgage being the largest obstacle that one has in wealth creation” is even more crazy. If it weren’t for mortgages the vast majority of people wouldn’t even begin to have the chance of owning a home. Additionally, the truly exceptional gains that we have seen in the last 100 years in real estate values (you know, the gains that have made millions of people wealthier) would have been minuscule in comparison if it weren’t for the mortgage. That’s a supply/demand thing; still economics 101.

Your next comment, as to today’s market no longer affording the consumer the ability to “count on appreciation to build home equity” is interesting; couple that with the first two statements – the home being a liability, and the mortgage being the largest obstacle in wealth creation, are you sure people should even own a home? I think if you really want to do people a service, by your logic, you should try to talk them into selling that anchor to poverty and rent until they get rich. As for my original post, I stand by it. The majority of homeowners would be ill served by being placed into a first mortgage HELOC. To put the average homeowner in a product that has an interest rate currently more than 2% higher than the average 30 year fixed rate that adjusts monthly and gives the option of not paying principal at all is ludicrous at best and in my humble opinion should be criminal.

An interest only loan on your home is in and of itself not a bad loan. There is nothing evil or unethical about it. It can, in some cases, be a very good choice. As a matter of fact, I personally have an interest only loan financing my home. It is not a new concept, and in and of itself, it is not a gimmick. I do, however, believe strongly that it is not a good option for the vast majority of the people financing their homes.

Let’s analyze some of the information surrounding the Home Equity Loan First Mortgage concept. The basic loan is a home equity line of credit (HELOC). You are leveraging the equity in your home to pay off your first mortgage balance, and further leveraging your home to pay your monthly obligations. This strategy is great if you are one of the few people in the country that has more money coming into your asset base than exiting. The average American spends more than they earn. Consumer credit increased at an annual rate of 5-1/4 percent in the third quarter of 2007.* While average hourly earnings rose by 3.8 percent, and average weekly earnings rose by 3.5 percent over the same period.** This means that every month you pay your bills with your home loan you actually see an increase in the level of debt that is leveraged against your home. It consequently means that every month this occurs you are reducing the amount of equity in your home. An advertisement for one such loan “My bank, My loan, My way” compares the loan with a checking account, from which you make withdrawals to pay your monthly obligations. A checking account is filled with cash not debt and never do you have to pay to withdraw from it, assuming you have a positive balance. Also, at no time is the equity in your home effected by your failure to stay within your budget. I know from years of experience that people have the best of intentions when they make financial decisions. I also know that more often than not those intentions fall by the wayside to the lure of spending. The American consumer spends on average in excess of 80% of every dollar they receive in income. Depending on the age and income bracket that number can be as high as 140.93%***. The reduction of debt is recognized just as in increase in wages would be by the consumer. When the American consumer lowers the monthly outflow of debt the perception is that they received a raise in income and in turn see that as a green light to take on more debt.

An additional concern that all consumers should have with this loan is the fact that it is an adjustable rate mortgage that adjusts, not annually, but monthly. Every time the Federal Reserve changes interest rates the rate on this loan will change. There are no adjustment caps either. If the Federal Reserve increased rates say 17 times in a row by .250%, your rate would change by 4.25% in the span of less than a year and a half (the Fed raised rates 17 times from 2005 through June of 2006).

The final issue is that the loan doesn’t require you to pay principal. Not only do you have a free pass to write checks on your home equity at will until the equity has been tapped out to the maximum allowed by the loan (often in excess of 80% of your homes value), but your interest rate can increase without any protective caps, and you are not required to make any principal reduction payments. This is a recipe for disaster. In a market where banks are going out of business left and right, foreclosures are at an all time high, property values are falling, and the former Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan has recently stated that he expects rates to move to the double digits in the coming decade, I can think of nothing worse than this particular loan for the financing of your home. It wouldn’t be adding fuel to the fire, it would be more like dumping a truck load of C-4 onto the fire.

*Statistic taken from the Federal Reserve Statistical Release on 11/07/07.

**Statistics taken from the Department of Labor Bureau of Labor Statistics 11/02/07.

***Information has been taken from James Shambo’s studies on Marginal Propensity to Consume in his development of the Hedonic Pleasure Index™.

Let’s look at the premise that the bi-weekly program works under. If you were to make one payment every month you would obviously make twelve payments each year. Now, anyone who is paid every other week understands that there are 26 pay periods in the year. Wait a minute, twelve divided by 2 is 24. That’s right, the magic of the bi-weekly payment program lies in the fact that you will essentially make one additional payment each year to the mortgage company. Could you do that yourself and avoid paying anywhere from $295.00 – $400.00 to be enrolled in the program? This doesn’t include the fact that you’ll be paying somewhere between $1.50 and $5.00 for every withdrawal the payment plan coordinator initiates for you. Of course you can do this on your own.

Now, some people will argue that it’s just easier, more convenient, or helps them be disciplined. I would submit that with today’s banking system there are tools for the individual that will erase all of these arguments. You can set up automatic withdrawals with any of the major mortgage servicers. You can also request that they take a set additional amount out each month to be applied towards principal reduction. Not only does this give you more control over your money, but it allows you the ability to make 12 equal small payments to your lender as opposed to 2 relatively large payments each year. I think it is much easier to budget for the smaller payments. You can also decide how fast you want to pay your mortgage off and make payments that are appropriate for that goal. The bi-weekly plan won’t work for this. The fact that payments are going to the mortgage lender every other week has a negligible effect on your interest paid over the life of your loan, and will more than be compensated with the money you save by not paying the usual plan fees.

The bottom line: Contact me for help in calculating the additional monthly amount necessary to accomplish your goal. Contact your mortgage servicer with that information and request that they make an automatic withdrawal from your account each month in the amount we come up with. They’ll be glad to do it, and you’ll save some money. After all, that’s what this is all about, isn’t it?